Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 67.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 65.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 69.0%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Larkin
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Larkin
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Larkin
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Larkin
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
49.4% (259)
+4.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
54.4% (136)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
47.9% (71)
+0.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Larkin
Reinhart
Home
56.6% (700)
54.9% (235)
Away
52.1% (655)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Larkin
Reinhart
P1
55.4%
52.3%
P2
54.7%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
50.0%
OT
59.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |