Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Reinhart 42.5% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 80.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 93.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 86.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Larkin
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Larkin
Reinhart
Last 5: Larkin 4-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
36.0% (89)
+15.0%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
38.1% (21)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
0.0% (2)
+49.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Larkin shoots left. Reinhart is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Larkin
Reinhart
Home
54.9% (721)
43.2% (44)
Away
49.6% (641)
30.9% (68)
By Period
Larkin
Reinhart
P1
52.4%
43.2%
P2
50.8%
37.5%
P3
54.4%
22.2%
OT
43.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |