Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Steel 49.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Larkin
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
49.3% (383)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
59.1% (22)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
14.3% (7)
+33.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Larkin
Steel
Home
55.6% (662)
49.4% (180)
Away
48.3% (542)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Larkin
Steel
P1
49.9%
51.9%
P2
52.7%
43.8%
P3
53.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |