Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Steel 46.6% (+10.4%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 64.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Larkin
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
44.6% (177)
+11.3%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
66.7% (3)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
44.8% (29)
+1.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Larkin
Steel
Home
56.0% (654)
46.7% (90)
Away
54.8% (639)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Larkin
Steel
P1
54.4%
47.8%
P2
55.9%
47.0%
P3
55.2%
41.3%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%