Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Steel 52.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 62.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Larkin
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Larkin
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
56.9% (320)
-4.3%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
71.4% (7)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
37.0% (73)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Larkin
Steel
Home
54.7% (783)
55.9% (202)
Away
54.3% (816)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Larkin
Steel
P1
55.9%
55.5%
P2
56.1%
55.1%
P3
51.1%
50.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sam Steel |