Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 70.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 59.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Larkin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larkin
Kuraly
Last 5: Larkin 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Larkin
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Larkin
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
46.0% (661)
+2.5%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
77.8% (9)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
47.1% (51)
+1.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kuraly
Home
51.4% (652)
47.2% (335)
Away
48.5% (662)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Larkin
Kuraly
P1
49.1%
47.1%
P2
52.0%
44.6%
P3
48.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |