Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Pinto 50.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 55.3%
Defensive zone
Pinto 77.6%
Neutral zone
Pinto 59.2%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Larkin
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Larkin
Pinto
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
7
Larkin
Pinto
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
7
Larkin
Pinto
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Pinto
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
50.2% (520)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
68.0% (25)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
49.4% (89)
-1.2%
On power play, Pinto has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Larkin
Pinto
Home
52.4% (647)
48.8% (301)
Away
52.7% (643)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Larkin
Pinto
P1
52.2%
51.2%
P2
53.1%
48.9%
P3
51.7%
53.3%
OT
61.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |