Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Pinto 50.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 56.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 72.1%
Neutral zone
Pinto 61.9%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Larkin
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Larkin
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
51.2% (463)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
50.0% (14)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
36.8% (19)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Larkin
Pinto
Home
56.0% (654)
52.2% (205)
Away
54.8% (639)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Larkin
Pinto
P1
54.4%
48.7%
P2
55.9%
51.8%
P3
55.2%
51.2%
OT
64.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |