Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Pinto 50.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 78.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 58.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Larkin
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Larkin
Pinto
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
3
Larkin
Pinto
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
5
Larkin
Pinto
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
50.4% (779)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
55.2% (29)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
44.9% (78)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Larkin
Pinto
Home
54.7% (783)
52.4% (454)
Away
54.3% (816)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Larkin
Pinto
P1
55.9%
48.1%
P2
56.1%
52.9%
P3
51.1%
49.3%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OT | 02:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OT | 02:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |