Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Pinto 51.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 53.2%
Neutral zone
Pinto 50.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Larkin
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Larkin
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Larkin
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
52.5% (825)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
40.0% (10)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
44.4% (27)
+4.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Larkin
Pinto
Home
56.6% (700)
52.8% (453)
Away
52.1% (655)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Larkin
Pinto
P1
55.4%
49.0%
P2
54.7%
53.5%
P3
52.7%
53.7%
OT
59.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |