Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Crosby 55.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 85.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Larkin
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Larkin
Crosby
Last 8: Larkin 1-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Larkin
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Larkin
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
55.9% (676)
-4.9%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
56.7% (171)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
46.3% (41)
+3.3%
On even strength, Crosby has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Larkin shoots left. Crosby is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Larkin
Crosby
Home
54.9% (721)
57.7% (454)
Away
49.6% (641)
53.5% (434)
By Period
Larkin
Crosby
P1
52.4%
55.9%
P2
50.8%
53.0%
P3
54.4%
57.7%
OT
43.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.8%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |