Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Crosby 56.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 62.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Larkin
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Larkin
Crosby
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
4
Larkin
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
7
Larkin
Crosby
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
3
Larkin
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
56.2% (1,451)
-3.6%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
61.4% (293)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
55.3% (38)
+0.6%
On even strength, Crosby has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Larkin
Crosby
Home
54.7% (783)
59.1% (939)
Away
54.3% (816)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Larkin
Crosby
P1
55.9%
54.9%
P2
56.1%
60.8%
P3
51.1%
55.4%
OT
66.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |