Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.4%). Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Crosby 52.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 54.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Larkin
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Larkin
Crosby
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Larkin
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
0
Larkin
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
50.8% (1,169)
+1.0%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
60.2% (261)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
45.0% (20)
+2.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Larkin
Crosby
Home
55.6% (662)
53.2% (726)
Away
48.3% (542)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Larkin
Crosby
P1
49.9%
51.3%
P2
52.7%
52.1%
P3
53.0%
54.1%
OT
68.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 28, 2022 | OT | 04:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |