Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.4%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Stützle 52.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 72.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Larkin
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Stützle
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Larkin
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
53.0% (485)
-1.3%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
55.2% (58)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
56.7% (30)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stützle
Home
52.4% (647)
52.5% (282)
Away
52.7% (643)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Larkin
Stützle
P1
52.2%
52.1%
P2
53.1%
56.2%
P3
51.7%
52.0%
OT
61.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |