Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Stützle 43.0% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 93.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 61.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 81.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Larkin
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Larkin
Stützle
Last 8: Larkin 6-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Larkin
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Stützle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
42.7% (457)
+10.9%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
20.0% (5)
+39.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
25.0% (24)
+23.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Stützle is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stützle
Home
56.6% (700)
43.1% (253)
Away
52.1% (655)
39.9% (233)
By Period
Larkin
Stützle
P1
55.4%
44.9%
P2
54.7%
43.9%
P3
52.7%
35.8%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |