Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Stützle 45.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 29-15 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 95.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 95.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 90.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Larkin
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
15
(44 meetings)
29
15
Larkin
Stützle
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
1
Larkin
Stützle
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
5
7
Larkin
Stützle
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
14
7
Larkin
Stützle
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
45.1% (2,292)
+6.6%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
55.4% (101)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
47.7% (86)
+2.5%
On even strength, Larkin has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Stützle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,489).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stützle
Home
54.0% (6,238)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Larkin
Stützle
P1
52.7%
47.1%
P2
53.1%
45.4%
P3
52.1%
44.1%
OT
58.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |