Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Stützle 47.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 83.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 60.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 78.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Larkin
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Larkin
Stützle
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Larkin
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
45.3% (468)
+10.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
62.5% (24)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
60.0% (20)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stützle
Home
56.0% (654)
46.3% (270)
Away
54.8% (639)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Larkin
Stützle
P1
54.4%
46.1%
P2
55.9%
45.8%
P3
55.2%
48.2%
OT
64.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |