Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Stützle 48.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 90.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 78.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Larkin
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Larkin
Stützle
Last 6: Larkin 5-1 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Stützle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
47.7% (398)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
50.0% (10)
+10.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Stützle is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stützle
Home
54.7% (783)
53.4% (236)
Away
54.3% (816)
40.1% (172)
By Period
Larkin
Stützle
P1
55.9%
49.1%
P2
56.1%
41.3%
P3
51.1%
53.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |