Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Dellandrea 47.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Dellandrea leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dellandrea 58.9%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 68.4%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 57.0%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Larkin
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Larkin
Dellandrea
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
2
Larkin
Dellandrea
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
5
Larkin
Dellandrea
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
42.9% (77)
+6.6%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
41.7% (12)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
63.6% (11)
-22.4%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Larkin is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Larkin shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dellandrea
Home
48.5% (388)
50.7% (67)
Away
50.6% (342)
33.3% (33)
By Period
Larkin
Dellandrea
P1
52.1%
36.1%
P2
46.9%
43.8%
P3
49.2%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |