Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Dellandrea 44.1% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 75.6%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 73.7%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 55.5%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Larkin
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Larkin
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Dellandrea
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Larkin
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
42.7% (143)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
39.5% (81)
+6.7%
On even strength, Larkin has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Dellandrea is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dellandrea
Home
56.0% (654)
41.9% (105)
Away
54.8% (639)
41.2% (119)
By Period
Larkin
Dellandrea
P1
54.4%
44.4%
P2
55.9%
39.5%
P3
55.2%
41.4%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |