Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.3%). Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.7%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 70.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.1%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Larkin
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Dellandrea
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
3
Larkin
Dellandrea
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
54.1% (355)
-2.4%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
53.8% (13)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
47.6% (143)
+0.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dellandrea
Home
52.4% (647)
54.3% (278)
Away
52.7% (643)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Larkin
Dellandrea
P1
52.2%
54.2%
P2
53.1%
50.6%
P3
51.7%
51.8%
OT
61.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |