Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Dellandrea leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.6%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 86.9%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 70.5%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Larkin
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Larkin
Dellandrea
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
3
Larkin
Dellandrea
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
2
10
Larkin
Dellandrea
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
2
Larkin
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
50.5% (1,108)
+1.2%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
59.4% (32)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
43.4% (318)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dellandrea
Home
54.0% (6,238)
49.4% (741)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Larkin
Dellandrea
P1
52.7%
49.7%
P2
53.1%
48.6%
P3
52.1%
49.4%
OT
58.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |