Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Dellandrea 49.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 77.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Larkin
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Dellandrea
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Larkin
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
51.1% (356)
+1.5%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
100.0% (6)
-39.3%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
36.8% (57)
+19.1%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dellandrea
Home
54.7% (783)
46.7% (180)
Away
54.3% (816)
52.3% (239)
By Period
Larkin
Dellandrea
P1
55.9%
47.8%
P2
56.1%
50.9%
P3
51.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |