Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Johnson 53.6% (-8.5%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 66.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Larkin
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
61.9% (42)
-10.1%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
55.6% (9)
+0.4%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johnson
Home
55.6% (662)
52.0% (25)
Away
48.3% (542)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Larkin
Johnson
P1
49.9%
72.0%
P2
52.7%
66.7%
P3
53.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%