Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Johnson 50.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 84.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 63.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Larkin
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
47.4% (78)
+6.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
57.6% (33)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
100.0% (2)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johnson
Home
56.6% (700)
50.9% (57)
Away
52.1% (655)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Larkin
Johnson
P1
55.4%
44.1%
P2
54.7%
59.4%
P3
52.7%
52.3%
OT
59.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |