Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Johnson 45.7% (+11.0%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 56.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Larkin
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
44.6% (285)
+11.3%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
46.7% (60)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
16.7% (6)
+29.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johnson
Home
56.0% (654)
50.8% (179)
Away
54.8% (639)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Larkin
Johnson
P1
54.4%
41.3%
P2
55.9%
41.8%
P3
55.2%
49.6%
OT
64.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%