Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Johnson 51.4% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 62.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Larkin
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
63.6% (11)
-11.0%
On even strength, Johnson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johnson
Home
54.7% (783)
62.5% (8)
Away
54.3% (816)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Larkin
Johnson
P2
56.1%
85.7%
P3
51.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%