Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 63.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Larkin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Larkin
Trocheck
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
5
Larkin
Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
4
Larkin
Trocheck
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Trocheck
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
54.3% (955)
-2.5%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
64.6% (96)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
51.0% (194)
-3.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Larkin
Trocheck
Home
55.6% (662)
58.3% (604)
Away
48.3% (542)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Larkin
Trocheck
P1
49.9%
53.9%
P2
52.7%
55.7%
P3
53.0%
54.3%
OT
68.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |