Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 79.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 71.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Larkin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Larkin
Trocheck
Last 9: Larkin 6-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
2
Larkin
Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Larkin
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
57.6% (1,061)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
65.1% (338)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
49.5% (101)
-3.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Larkin
Trocheck
Home
56.0% (654)
61.8% (735)
Away
54.8% (639)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Larkin
Trocheck
P1
54.4%
57.7%
P2
55.9%
57.9%
P3
55.2%
60.4%
OT
64.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |