Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 60.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 54.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 63.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Larkin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Larkin
Trocheck
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
5
Larkin
Trocheck
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Larkin
Trocheck
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
59.6% (1,032)
-7.0%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
62.1% (253)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
55.4% (249)
+0.5%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Larkin
Trocheck
Home
54.7% (783)
61.7% (786)
Away
54.3% (816)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Larkin
Trocheck
P1
55.9%
61.7%
P2
56.1%
58.8%
P3
51.1%
57.6%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |