Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 65.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 55.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 63.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Larkin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Larkin
Trocheck
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Larkin
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Trocheck
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
55.0% (956)
-1.4%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
59.8% (266)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
56.3% (64)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Larkin
Trocheck
Home
56.6% (700)
57.7% (673)
Away
52.1% (655)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Larkin
Trocheck
P1
55.4%
55.4%
P2
54.7%
55.6%
P3
52.7%
56.4%
OT
59.1%
83.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |