Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Johnston 44.8% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.3%
Defensive zone
Johnston 62.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 54.6%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Larkin
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Larkin
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Larkin
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
42.5% (318)
+11.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
55.6% (9)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
62.5% (8)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johnston
Home
56.6% (700)
40.5% (168)
Away
52.1% (655)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Larkin
Johnston
P1
55.4%
46.9%
P2
54.7%
40.4%
P3
52.7%
41.9%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |