Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.1% vs Evans 55.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 93.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Strome
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Strome
Evans
Last 7: Strome 5-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (848)
56.2% (477)
+0.2%
Power Play
66.4% (295)
70.0% (10)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
55.4% (204)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Strome is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Strome shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Strome
Evans
Home
55.8% (616)
55.3% (374)
Away
62.2% (539)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Strome
Evans
P1
61.8%
58.5%
P2
54.6%
55.7%
P3
60.5%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
48.0%▼
56.5%
58.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |