Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.2%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Evans 52.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 26-24 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 85.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 55.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Strome
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
24
(50 meetings)
26
24
Strome
Evans
Last 10: Strome 8-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
19
0
Strome
Evans
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
17
Strome
Evans
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
7
Strome
Evans
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
53.8% (3,695)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
60.0% (70)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
47.1% (1,222)
-1.5%
On even strength, Evans has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Strome shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Strome
Evans
Home
51.1% (3,968)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Strome
Evans
P1
50.4%
54.0%
P2
52.1%
50.9%
P3
52.3%
52.0%
OT
52.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |