Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 52.2%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Evans 52.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 88.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Strome
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Strome
Evans
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
6
0
Strome
Evans
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
5
Strome
Evans
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Strome
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
54.4% (807)
-3.8%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
55.0% (20)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
46.1% (310)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Strome
Evans
Home
51.9% (700)
53.7% (581)
Away
53.9% (620)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Strome
Evans
P1
51.6%
54.6%
P2
53.0%
50.0%
P3
54.3%
52.3%
OT
44.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |