Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Evans 51.7% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 86.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 70.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 62.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Strome
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Strome
Evans
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Strome
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Strome
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
54.5% (483)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
58.3% (12)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
43.9% (155)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Strome
Evans
Home
46.4% (513)
49.4% (336)
Away
51.0% (569)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Strome
Evans
P1
44.9%
55.8%
P2
50.8%
51.7%
P3
49.7%
48.2%
OT
77.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jake Evans |