Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 52.9%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Evans 52.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 91.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 91.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 53.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Strome
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Strome
Evans
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
7
0
Strome
Evans
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
7
Strome
Evans
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
1
Strome
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
54.4% (824)
-1.8%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
66.7% (9)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
48.1% (289)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Strome shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Strome
Evans
Home
53.4% (653)
55.1% (541)
Away
53.9% (634)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Strome
Evans
P1
49.3%
51.8%
P2
54.6%
53.3%
P3
56.7%
53.8%
OT
62.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |