Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 95.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 59.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 75.8%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Strome
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Strome
Kastelic
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
8
Strome
Kastelic
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
58.0% (476)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
75.0% (8)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
50.9% (106)
+15.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Strome
Kastelic
Home
46.4% (513)
64.9% (265)
Away
51.0% (569)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Strome
Kastelic
P1
44.9%
58.5%
P2
50.8%
55.6%
P3
49.7%
56.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |