Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 85.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 62.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Strome
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Strome
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
53.4% (337)
-2.8%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
100.0% (4)
-40.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
75.0% (8)
-17.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Strome
Kastelic
Home
51.9% (700)
56.2% (162)
Away
53.9% (620)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Strome
Kastelic
P1
51.6%
58.2%
P2
53.0%
58.8%
P3
54.3%
45.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |