Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.4%). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 90.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 90.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 60.6%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Strome
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Strome
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
55.4% (345)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
50.0% (4)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
35.3% (17)
+27.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Strome shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Strome
Kastelic
Home
53.4% (653)
50.6% (162)
Away
53.9% (634)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Strome
Kastelic
P1
49.3%
61.5%
P2
54.6%
52.8%
P3
56.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |