Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 88.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 90.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 62.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Strome
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Strome
Kastelic
Last 10: Strome 9-1 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
8
0
Strome
Kastelic
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
9
Strome
Kastelic
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
2
Strome
Kastelic
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
57.0% (1,613)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
80.0% (25)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
53.6% (274)
-8.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Strome shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Strome
Kastelic
Home
51.1% (3,968)
58.9% (895)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Strome
Kastelic
P1
50.4%
58.5%
P2
52.1%
56.9%
P3
52.3%
55.3%
OT
52.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.3%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |