Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 84.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 77.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.2%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Strome
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Strome
O'Reilly
Last 10: Strome 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
1
Strome
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Strome
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
56.6% (1,064)
-6.0%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
60.4% (260)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
54.0% (261)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Strome shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Strome
O'Reilly
Home
51.3% (448)
54.9% (801)
Away
53.4% (431)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Strome
O'Reilly
P1
51.4%
58.0%
P2
54.6%
56.7%
P3
50.7%
55.4%
OT
66.7%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |