Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 52.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 65.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Strome
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Strome
O'Reilly
Last 8: Strome 5-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Strome
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
55.0% (1,084)
-4.4%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
56.8% (303)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
40.3% (149)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Strome
O'Reilly
Home
51.9% (700)
54.8% (759)
Away
53.9% (620)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Strome
O'Reilly
P1
51.6%
55.3%
P2
53.0%
51.9%
P3
54.3%
54.2%
OT
44.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |