Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 85.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Strome
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Strome
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Strome
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
56.1% (690)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
64.6% (96)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
45.9% (109)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Strome
O'Reilly
Home
46.4% (513)
58.3% (408)
Away
51.0% (569)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Strome
O'Reilly
P1
44.9%
57.7%
P2
50.8%
54.8%
P3
49.7%
55.2%
OT
77.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |