Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 47.6% vs Aho 52.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 52.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 81.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 64.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Strome
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Strome
Aho
Last 10: Strome 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
4
Strome
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
8
3
Strome
Aho
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Strome
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (310)
52.4% (622)
-5.9%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
60.7% (28)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.4% (42)
-52.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Strome is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Strome shoots left. Aho is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Strome
Aho
Home
46.3% (216)
54.9% (359)
Away
47.8% (205)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Strome
Aho
P1
48.5%
51.6%
P2
50.7%
53.3%
P3
41.5%
52.7%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |