Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Aho 53.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 55.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 58.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Strome
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Aho
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
51.2% (785)
-0.6%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
63.8% (213)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
57.9% (57)
+0.0%
On power play, Aho has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Strome
Aho
Home
51.9% (700)
54.9% (548)
Away
53.9% (620)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Strome
Aho
P1
51.6%
52.8%
P2
53.0%
58.9%
P3
54.3%
50.6%
OT
44.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |