Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 56.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 54.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.2%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Strome
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Strome
Aho
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Strome
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
2
Strome
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
48.5% (778)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
63.4% (191)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
50.8% (65)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Strome
Aho
Home
46.4% (513)
51.3% (530)
Away
51.0% (569)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Strome
Aho
P1
44.9%
50.0%
P2
50.8%
51.3%
P3
49.7%
52.1%
OT
77.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
70.0%▲
59.5%
48.8%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |