Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Aho 54.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 76.5%
Defensive zone
Aho 63.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.0%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Strome
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Strome
Aho
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
2
Strome
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Strome
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Strome
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
54.5% (870)
-1.9%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
62.4% (266)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
37.1% (62)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Strome
Aho
Home
53.4% (653)
53.9% (603)
Away
53.9% (634)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Strome
Aho
P1
49.3%
54.1%
P2
54.6%
55.0%
P3
56.7%
57.4%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |