Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 35-28 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 64.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 60.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Strome
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
28
(63 meetings)
35
28
Strome
Aho
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
16
9
Strome
Aho
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
13
10
Strome
Aho
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
6
9
Strome
Aho
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
50.1% (6,619)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
58.9% (1,310)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
46.3% (464)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Strome
Aho
Home
51.1% (3,968)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Strome
Aho
P1
50.4%
51.1%
P2
52.1%
52.0%
P3
52.3%
50.7%
OT
52.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |