Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.0% vs Hertl 54.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 76.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 67.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Strome
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Strome
Hertl
Last 5: Strome 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Strome
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Strome
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (533)
54.7% (570)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
55.2% (143)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
54.5% (77)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Strome is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Strome shoots left. Hertl is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Strome
Hertl
Home
50.8% (244)
56.2% (379)
Away
45.4% (337)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Strome
Hertl
P1
50.3%
53.4%
P2
44.1%
52.7%
P3
49.2%
57.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |